Some people have a fantastical perspective of the union of technology and biology, yet current events are demonstrating that this concept is no longer limited to the realm of science fiction. On the other hand, the preliminary stages of this procedure are already well underway. In spite of this, we have just reached the “toddler” stage of this development.
The initial crop of wearable technology was met with widespread disappointment from consumers. The starting price points were somewhat exorbitant, and the accuracy did not live up to the claims that were made about it. Since that time, a lot of things have changed, and the industry has shifted from selling simple fitness trackers to selling more sophisticated gadgets, such as smartwatches and sports watches. In addition to that, costs have significantly decreased.
However, what does the future have in store?
If you search the internet, you’ll discover a lot of articles that try to speculate about the future of technology and where it will take us in the next few decades. Ray Kurzweil is a name that sticks out from the crowd.
Ray is known as “the finest guy I know at forecasting the future of artificial intelligence,” according to Bill Gates.
Who exactly is this unknown individual?
He is the author of seven novels and has been granted accolades by three different presidents of the United States. He also holds twenty honorary doctorates (5 of which have been bestsellers).
Ray Kurzweil is credited as the primary developer of a wide variety of technologies, including the first CCD flatbed scanner as well as the first print-to-speech translating system for the visually impaired. He is also the chancellor and co-founder of Singularity University, and Google has hired him to oversee the company’s research and development efforts in the field of artificial intelligence.
His track record of making predictions is incredibly impressive, despite the fact that he has not been exactly accurate in every single forecast that he has made.
So, according to Ray, what does the future have in store for us? Hold on tight, because you’re in for a thrilling (and terrifying) ride with this one.
The decade will see the beginning of the revolution in nanotechnology, which will allow humanity to drastically exceed the restrictions that are intrinsic to biology.
It is anticipated that by the end of this decade, artificial intelligence will have passed the Turing test, which indicates that it can pass for a human being. This will signal the beginning of the robotics revolution.
Around the early part of this decade, mankind will have the necessary hardware to imitate human intellect on a personal computer costing $1,000. This will be followed shortly thereafter by successful software models of human cognition somewhere in the middle of this decade.
It will be able to create computers with dimensions smaller than 100 nm. The field of medicine will be one of the first to make use of nanomachines when they are put into practical practice. For instance, extremely advanced medical nanobots will carry out in-depth brain scans on patients while they are still alive. Because of these extremely exact brain scans, it will be possible to create realistic computer models of the full human brain, and one will also be able to understand how the brain works.
By the year 2022, medical technology will have advanced significantly further than it does at the present time, and the “tipping point” of the human average lifespan will have been reached. At this point, each new year of research will guarantee at least one more year of average lifespan than the previous year.
By the end of this decade, there will be nanobots that are capable of entering the circulation, “feeding” cells and extracting waste from those cells. They will render the conventional approach that humans use to consuming food outdated.
The use of nanotechnology in manufacturing will become ubiquitous by the late 2020s, which will have a profound impact on the economy as it will make it possible to produce a broad variety of goods at prices that are a fraction of what they would cost to produce using more conventional methods.
It is anticipated that by the latter half of this decade, virtual reality will have reached a level of quality that would render it indistinguishable from actual reality.
The various iterations of the “Human Bodily 2.0,” as Kurzweil refers to it, will be gradually amassed over the course of this decade and the one that will follow it, with each organ and body system through its own unique process of improvement and progression. In the end, it will consist of a nanotechnological network of food and circulation, a brain extension, and an upgraded skeleton. Additionally, it will render many of the internal organs unnecessary.
By the end of this decade, mind uploading will have been successful and perfected, and humans will have evolved into software-based beings capable of living out their lives on the internet, projecting bodies whenever they want or need to (whether in virtual or real reality), and living virtually forever so long as they continue to maintain their “mind file.”
The biological age is giving way to the postbiological period; eventually, all human beings will migrate to this postbiological condition, with the exception of those who prefer to stay unenhanced.
Nanomachines have the potential to interact with brain cells and could be directly implanted into the brain, where they could then exercise complete control over both incoming and outgoing impulses. As a direct consequence of this, it became possible to construct fully immersive virtual reality without the utilisation of any additional hardware.
Through the use of brain nanobots, individuals will be able to make their brain transmissions, also known as “experience beamers,” of their day-to-day lives either recorded or live for other individuals to experience remotely.
People who have nanomachines implanted in their brains will be able to greatly broaden their cognitive, memory, and sensory capabilities; they will also be able to directly interconnect with computers and communicate “telepathically” with one another. Recreational uses of this technology will also be possible.
The same nanotechnology should also make it possible for humans to change the neural connections that are already present in their brains, which would change the fundamental basis for a person’s intelligence as well as their memories and personality.
The many iterations of “Human Body 3.0” are being phased in gradually over the course of this decade and the one that will follow it. It is highly likely that it will not have a fixed, corporeal form and will be able to change its shape and external appearance at will by employing nanotechnology in the form of foglets.
Virtual reality with complete immersion is where most of the time is spent by people nowadays.
The capabilities of nonbiological intelligence are expected to be billions of times greater than those of biological intelligence.
Singularity will occur in 2045.
For one thousand dollars, you may get a computer that is one billion times smarter than all humans put together.
The technological singularity takes place when artificial intelligence becomes more intelligent and competent than human beings and replaces them as the most intelligent and capable living forms on Earth. The advancement of technology is taken over by machines, which are capable of thinking, acting, and communicating at speeds that are so high that regular people are unable to even grasp what is going on. Because of this, technological progress after this point is exponential, under the direction of machines, and hence impossible to correctly anticipate (hence the term “Singularity”).
Singularity will irrevocably alter the path that human history has taken since it will be a profoundly disruptive and world-changing event. Because of the existence of cybernetically upgraded humans and uploaded people, the eradication of mankind at the hands of aggressive machines is highly unlikely to occur. This is because there will no longer be clear distinctions between man and machine.
Consider how unbelievable all of this sounds when compared to the situation just ten or twenty years ago. In the same way that it is difficult to accept Ray’s forecasts in this day and age, it is impossible to imagine that the internet, the iPhone, or Google ever existed back then. And only a few short decades previously, they would have seemed like something out of a science fiction novel.
Moore’s Law is the driving force behind Ray’s ability to make accurate forecasts.
Moore’s Law states that as a product’s individual components grow smaller, the whole product will become more powerful and efficient. Moore’s law is a component of a trend that can be traced back many hundreds of years that demonstrates an exponential increase in the amount of computing power available. This indicates that not only does it precisely chronicle the development of semiconductor technology from 1960 up through the present day, but it also continues further. There have been various forms of computer technology in use before then, going all the way back to the abacus.
Wearable technology now available may be compared to having a portable computer like the Osborne Executive fastened to your wrist.
a portable Osborne Executive computer from the year 1982, equipped with a Zilog Z80 4 MHz CPU, and an Apple iPhone from the year 2007, equipped with a 412 MHz ARM11 CPU; the Executive measures approximately 100 times as much, has nearly 500 times the volume and costs roughly 10 times as much (adjusted for inflation). Additionally, its clock frequency is approximate 1/100th that of the smartphone.
The rollout of 5G, which has ultra-reliable connections and short lag times, has already begun in a slow manner and is projected to pick up speed in 2020. At the moment, the vast majority of wearables maintain a constant connection to either WiFi or Bluetooth. They will no longer be tethered to their cellphones since they will constantly be linked thanks to 5G, which will also enable them to live in the cloud. We’ll start out with 5G wearables like fitness trackers and smartwatches, and then move on to 5G clothing.
In the end, wearable technology will advance much farther, even into the realm of ingestible, which may be difficult to believe. Within the next several years, it is quite possible that some individuals may begin to rely on embedded devices, which refers to technology that is surgically implanted into a person’s body.
The majority of individuals will decide to have these devices implanted since it will enhance the quality of their lives and cause their lifespans to increase.
There is little room for debate about the fact that humans and technology are ever more closely converging. Some people have the opinion that this is a positive development, while others, such as Elon Musk, have cautionary statements. It is now abundantly evident that computers are no longer confined to being used only on our desks and in our pockets. They are currently being shown with great pride on our bodies and will eventually become a part of them. The technological advances that will make this possible are both unavoidable and well under motion right now.